Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/12/25


Monday 01 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   48.8 48.7
PMI Manufacturing   49.9 50.3 50.6
PMI Manufacturing   47.8 47.8 47.8
PMI Manufacturing   48.4 48.4 48.2
PMI Manufacturing   49.7 49.7 49.6
PMI Manufacturing   50.2 50.2 50.2
Money Supply M4   0.6% -0.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -59.6Bln US -65.5Bln US
PMI Manufacturing   49.6
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.800Mln 0.709Mln
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.4% 0.2%
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 48.7 49.0

Tuesday 02 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 35.8
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% 0.0%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4% 1.4%
Unemployment Rate   6.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.3% 6.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.1%

Wednesday 03 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 0.7%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 1.8% 2.2%
PMI Services   54.0 54.0
PMI Services   50.8 50.8
PMI Services   52.7 52.7
PMI Services   53.1 53.1
PMI Composite   52.4 52.4
PMI Services   50.5 50.5
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 42k 10k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.0%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 70.0
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 56.2
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.4 52.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 48.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 54.3
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   2.774Mln

Thursday 04 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.32Bln CA

Friday 05 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.6%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.8% -0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.580Bln EU
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 0.50%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.50%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.4%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 0.5%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.9% 7.0%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.9% 2.9%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.8%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.8%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2%

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